Toronto Condo Market Sees Surplus of Listings and Decreasing Rents: What’s Happening?

The Toronto condo market is experiencing significant changes, marked by an increase in available listings and a slight decline in rental prices. Here’s a closer look at the factors driving these trends and what they mean for both investors and renters.

5/21/20242 min read

Investor-Owned Market Under Pressure

Approximately 40% of Toronto’s condo market is owned by investors. These property owners are feeling the pinch due to steadily increasing renewal rates, which have driven up operating costs. As a result, many investors are opting to sell their units rather than continue to manage the financial strain. This influx of condos for sale is contributing to the current surplus in the market.

The Impact of AirBnB Regulations

Another factor influencing the market is the tightening of regulations around short-term rentals, particularly platforms like AirBnB. With stricter rules in place, many investors who relied on short-term rentals for income are choosing to sell their properties instead of transitioning to long-term leasing, which can be less profitable. This regulatory push is adding to the growing number of condos on the market.

Benefits for Renters

The current conditions are creating opportunities for renters. With an increase in the supply of rental units and more competition among landlords, rental prices have decreased by about 2% since the beginning of 2024. Landlords are also offering incentives to attract tenants, making it a favorable time for those looking to rent in Toronto.

Market Hesitation and Prolonged Listings

Despite the increased availability of condos, many units are lingering on the market. Some listings have been up for as long as 300 days, indicating buyer hesitation. This reluctance could be due to potential buyers waiting for more favorable conditions or further price reductions before making a purchase.

Potential Rate Cuts and Market Outlook

Looking ahead, there is a strong possibility of a rate cut in 2024, which could stimulate buying activity in the condo market. Lower interest rates typically make financing more accessible, potentially encouraging more buyers to enter the market. If this happens, we might see a shift in the current dynamics, with increased sales activity reducing the number of available listings and stabilizing rental prices.

In summary, the Toronto condo market is in a state of flux with a surplus of listings and a decrease in rents benefiting renters. Investors are feeling the pressure from rising costs and regulatory changes, leading to an increased number of condos for sale. However, a potential rate cut later in 2024 could change the market landscape once again. For now, renters can enjoy more options and better deals, while prospective buyers might find opportunities to negotiate on condo prices.